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Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three factors in the ultimate Des Moines Register-sponsored poll of Iowa three days earlier than the election.
The shock poll confirmed a seven-point shift from Trump to Harris from September when he had a four-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the identical poll.
“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., who carried out the poll, advised the newspaper on Saturday. “She has clearly leaped into a leading position.”
The poll was carried out between Oct. 28-31, and Harris’ lead is inside the 3.4% margin of error.
Still, the poll seems to be an outlier. Another poll from Emerson College launched Saturday confirmed Trump with a 10-point lead (53% to 43%) and he maintains an honest lead in different polls.
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Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three factors in the ultimate Des Moines Register-sponsored poll of Iowa three days earlier than the election. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin; Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, which measures assist in the Hawkeye State, is nationally acknowledged, and its remaining outcomes mirrored the state’s outcomes of the 2016 and 2020 elections, in accordance with the Des Moines Register.
The 2016 poll confirmed Trump with a seven-point lead over Hillary Clinton and the 2020 poll confirmed him with the identical lead over President Biden.
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A Trump supporter’s Halloween show in Iowa. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc by way of Getty Images)
Iowa, which isn’t thought-about a swing state, is geographically close to the Rust Belt swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and it shares a border with Wisconsin.
The identical poll taken in June confirmed Trump with a substantial 18-point lead over Biden earlier than he dropped out of the race in July following a shaky debate efficiency.
The Nov. 2 poll exhibits Harris rising her assist amongst ladies in a race with a historic gender hole because the vice president has made the problem of abortion entrance and heart in her marketing campaign, in accordance with the newspaper.
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The remaining 9% of the folks polled stated they might vote for one more candidate, weren’t certain who the would vote for or didn’t plan to vote. Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., who dropped out of the race as an impartial candidate and endorsed Trump, bought 3% in the poll.
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