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With one week to go until Election Day, it stays a coin-flip White House race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.
Facing a margin-of-error race in each the nationwide polls and the swing state surveys, each the vp and the previous president, their working mates, and high surrogates proceed to fan out throughout the seven essential battleground states that may possible resolve the 2024 presidential election.
On the path
The Republican presidential nominee begins Tuesday from his dwelling base in Palm Beach, Florida, the place his marketing campaign says Trump will ship remarks to the press.
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Former President Trump holds a rally in New York City’s Madison Square Garden, on Oct. 27, 2024. (AP)
The former president then holds two occasions in Pennsylvania, which, with 19 electoral votes at stake, is the most important prize among the many key swing states.
Trump’s working mate, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, campaigns with two stops in battleground Michigan.
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The Democratic nominee is within the nation’s capital, taking a break from swing state journey for a day, as she delivers what the Harris marketing campaign touts as her closing argument, in an tackle from the Ellipse, with the White House as a backdrop.
Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a marketing campaign occasion in Burns Park Monday, Oct. 28, 2024, in Ann Arbor, Mich. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya) (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Harris’ working mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, makes three stops within the essential southeastern battleground of Georgia.
Casting ballots
Early voting turnout has been brisk, with swing states akin to Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina breaking data.
And with Trump apparently totally on board, the GOP’s efforts to persuade Republicans to vote early seem like working.
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The GOP hopes this surge in early voting will assist the celebration rebound from setbacks within the 2020 and 2022 elections, when Democrats dominated early in-person voting and absentee balloting.
Poll place
A handful of nationwide polls level to a useless warmth between Harris and Trump, whereas others point out the vp with the slight benefit or the previous president with the sting.
But getting previous the highest traces, there are warning indicators for each candidates.
Harris has misplaced her favorability benefit over Trump in among the most up-to-date surveys.
After changing President Biden atop the Democrats’ 2024 ticket in July, the vp’s favorable rankings soared. But they’ve steadily eroded over the previous month.
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Another purple flag for Harris are polls indicating her help amongst Black voters is beneath Biden’s ranges within the 2020 election.
For Trump, his help amongst White voters is on par with his standing within the 2020 election, when he misplaced the White House to Biden.
And the previous president nonetheless faces a wholesome deficit to the vp in terms of being reliable and caring about folks.
The newest Fox News nationwide ballot.
While nationwide polls are intently watched, the race for the White House isn’t primarily based on the nationwide widespread vote. It’s a battle for the states and their electoral votes.
And the newest surveys within the seven essential battleground states whose razor-thin margins determined Biden’s 2020 victory over Trump and can possible decide whether or not Harris or Trump wins the 2024 election, are largely inside the margin of error.
The most up-to-date Fox News nationwide ballot indicated Trump had a two-point edge, however Harris had a 6-point benefit amongst respondents questioned in all seven battleground states.
Cash sprint
While there is a margin of error within the polls, there’s a clear frontrunner within the battle for marketing campaign money, one other necessary indicator in presidential politics. And it is Harris.
According to the newest figures the 2 main celebration presidential campaigns filed with the Federal Election Commission, Harris hauled in $97 million through the first half of October.
That far outpaced the $16 million the Trump marketing campaign mentioned it raised through the first half of this month.
Both campaigns use quite a few affiliated fundraisings committees to lift cash. And when these are included, Trump narrowed the hole, however trailed $176 million to $97 million through the first two weeks of this month.
During the primary 16 days of October, the Democratic presidential nominee’s marketing campaign outspent Trump $166 million to $99 million, with paid media the highest expenditure for each campaigns.
However, Harris completed the reporting interval with additional cash in her coffers. As of Oct. 16, she had $119 million money readily available, whereas Trump had $36 million. When joint fundraising committees are additionally included, Harris holds a $240 million to $168 million cash-on-hand benefit.
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