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A handful of House seats at present held by Democrats could flip in the 2024 elections, giving Republicans a possible sigh of reduction as they search to construct on their slim majority.
All 435 seats in the House are up for grabs this cycle amid the GOP’s battle to choose up seats in districts that favor right-wing candidates. That battle will doubtless happen in districts that had been gained, or narrowly misplaced, by Republicans in latest elections.
Republicans at present maintain a 218-to-213 majority in the chamber. Amid the resignations and departures by a number of Republicans from the House in latest months, that quantity is anticipated to fall even additional on April 19, when Wisconsin GOP Rep. Mike Gallagher, the chairman of the House choose committee on China, leaves Congress.
The Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election analyst, at present ranks 11 Democrat-held seats as “Toss Up” races this cycle. Several of these races additionally embody districts gained, or practically gained, by former President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election.
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Six House seats at present held by Democrats could flip in the 2024 elections, giving Republicans the flexibility to increase their slim majority in the chamber. (Getty Images)
Of the numerous races, listed below are six House seats at present held by Democrats that could flip in 2024:
Maine’s 2nd Congressional District
Rep. Jared Golden, D-Maine, is trying to proceed his illustration of Maine’s 2nd Congressional District — a place he has held since 2019 — in the state’s November election.
Two Republicans are operating in the state’s June 11 major election, which makes use of a ranked-choice voting technique, to problem Golden — Maine state Rep. Michael Soboleski and Austin Theriault, a former NASCAR driver who additionally serves in the state House.
Once characterised by Politico as one of many “Trumpiest seats” for Democrats to defend, the district categorized as a “Democrat Toss Up” by the Cook Political Report covers four-fifths of the state, together with the cities of Lewiston, Bangor and Auburn.
Despite the chances that are reportedly stacked towards him in phrases of voter demographics, Golden, a Marine Corps veteran who has bucked his celebration on various points in latest years whereas serving as a co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition, has gained the seat thrice — in 2018, 2020 and 2021.
Rep. Jared Golden, D-Maine, on the U.S. Capitol on March 6, 2024. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc through Getty Images)
Ohio’s ninth Congressional District
Currently represented by longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, Ohio’s ninth Congressional District is a seat that Republicans are trying to choose up in the state’s 2024 election.
Kaptur, a Toledo native who has represented the lately redrawn Ohio district in the House since 1983, is at present the longest serving lady in the historical past of Congress.
But that could all change later this 12 months as Kaptur, whose votes align with President Biden’s pursuits practically 100% of the time, plans to face off towards Derek Merrin, her Republican challenger in the race.
Merrin, who was endorsed by Trump simply prior to the state’s GOP major election final month, at present serves as a state consultant. He beforehand served as a councilman and as mayor of the City of Waterville.
The race has been labeled by the Cook Political Report as a “Democrat Toss Up” in 2024.
Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, has represented Ohio’s ninth Congressional District since 1983. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)
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Pennsylvania’s eighth Congressional District
In Pennsylvania’s eighth Congressional District, Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright is trying to retain his publish in the House.
Cartwright has voted practically in lock-step with Biden since assuming workplace in 2019, giving Republicans who’ve largely centered on the financial system and different matters like immigration and crime one thing to discuss.
Though the first elections in the state will not happen till April 23, Cartwright, the presumed nominee for his celebration, is probably going to face off towards Rob Bresnahan Jr., the only Republican difficult him.
Bresnahan has served because the chief monetary officer and CEO of a household enterprise, {an electrical} contracting firm, for the reason that age of 16, and his web site states that he’s “uniquely qualified to send a jolt of energy through Congress and deliver results” for the residents of Northeastern Pennsylvania.
The race has been labeled by the Cook Political Report as a “Democrat Toss Up” in 2024.
Rep. Matt Cartwright, D-Pa., has represented Pennsylvania’s eighth Congressional District since 2019. (Getty Images)
Washington’s third Congressional District
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., additionally co-chair of the reasonable Democrats’ Blue Dog Coalition in the House, is searching for re-election to the House after serving a single time period in workplace representing Washington’s third Congressional District.
Perez is operating in a race that has been labeled by the Cook Political Report as a “Democrat Toss Up” in 2024.
Perez, who was first elected to the House in 2022, is one in all 5 candidates who will participate in the state’s nonpartisan major election on August 6.
The present Republican candidates trying to unseat the congresswoman embody U.S. Army veteran Joe Kent, who ran towards Perez in 2022 and narrowly misplaced, in addition to Leslie French and Leslie Lewallen.
Kent, in accordance to his marketing campaign web site, is “focused on restoring common sense Republican values and defeating the woke extremist Democrat Congresswoman Marie Perez.”
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, D-Wash., was first elected to the House in 2022. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post through Getty Images)
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Alaska’s At-Large Congressional District
Alaska Rep. Mary Peltola, the primary Democrat to symbolize Alaska’s at-large congressional district in practically 50 years, is hoping to earn the help of Alaskans by way of its ranked-choice voting technique later this 12 months.
Peltola, who was elected to serve a full time period in the House in 2022 and has labored to painting herself as a reasonable ever since, beforehand served for a decade as a member of the Alaska state House.
An Alaska native, Peltola is now gearing up for a political showdown for the Last Frontier as she prepares to tackle Republican candidates Nick Begich and Nancy Dahlstrom, the state’s present lieutenant governor, in Alaska’s August 20 major election.
Peltola, who additionally serves as a co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition, has confronted criticism from her GOP challengers for failing to vote in favor of the pursuits of Alaska residents.
“We like Mary as a person, but we don’t like her voting record. She’s not speaking for Alaskans,” Dahlstrom informed Fox News Digital earlier this 12 months.
Similarly, Begich informed Fox that “voters are furious” with the way in which Peltola has represented Alaska on the federal stage.
Rep. Mary Peltola has represented Alaska in the House since 2022. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post through Getty Images)
Michigan’s seventh Congressional District
Another House seat, Michigan’s seventh Congressional District, is an open seat that many in the political sphere are paying shut consideration to after incumbent Rep. Elissa Slotkin, a Democrat, introduced in February 2023 she would run for the Senate seat being vacated by retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich.
The district — which incorporates the counties of Branch, Eaton, Hillsdale, Jackson and Lenawee, in addition to massive parts of Calhoun and Washtenaw counties — was narrowly misplaced by Trump over the past presidential election.
Two former Michigan state senators, Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat Curtis Hertel Jr., are operating to symbolize the district in the state’s 2024 election.
The race is labeled a “Democrat Toss Up” by the Cook Political Report.
Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., introduced in February 2023 that she would run for the Senate. (Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc through Getty Images)
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Though not as aggressive, in accordance to Cook Political Report rankings, Republicans are additionally eyeing Virginia’s seventh Congressional District, the place greater than a dozen Republicans and Democrats are searching for their respective events’ nomination for the seat in the state’s June 18 major elections.
Former U.S. Army Special Forces Green Beret and fight veteran Derrick Anderson is the main Republican in the race and has acquired endorsements from House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., and several other different members of GOP management in the House.
The Virginia seat is at present held by Rep. Abigail Spanberger, a Democrat who introduced in November her determination to run for governor of the state in 2025. The seat has been ranked as a “Lean Democrat” by the Cook Political Report.
Rep. Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., introduced in November her determination to run for governor of Virginia in 2025. (Getty Images)
Despite the potential pick-up alternatives for the GOP in the House, a number of Republicans, a lot of whom symbolize districts gained by President Biden in 2020, could be in jeopardy of shedding their seats in the decrease chamber later this 12 months.
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Similar to that of present Democrat-held seats that could flip, the Cook Political Report at present ranks 11 GOP-held seats as “Toss Up” races this cycle.
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