Budget 2024: What was missing from Labour’s historic occasion?

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A sombre stage had been set for months earlier than the brand new Labour authorities’s first Budget. The gloomy messaging started when Rachel Reeves unveiled informed the Commons the general public purse was dealing with a £22bn “black hole” on the finish of July. It continued when the prime minister warned that the approaching occasion can be “painful.”

With these bleak warnings in place, many predicted the worst from the fiscal occasion. Some expectations had been met: the chancellor confirmed £40bn in tax rises, asserting anticipated tweaks to capital beneficial properties, nationwide insurance coverage and extra.

Placing the blame squarely on the earlier Conservative administration, she accused her counterparts of “concealing the reality” of public spending challenges.

Rachel Reeves holds the chancellor’s iconic red briefcase
Rachel Reeves holds the chancellor’s iconic pink briefcase (POOL/AFP through Getty Images)

However, there have been additionally some surprises, alongside a number of measures that had been “leaked” being fully omitted from the assertion.

Here’s what was missing from the Labour Budget:

Income tax rise – by ‘stealth’

Defying predictions, the chancellor dominated out an extension to the edge tax freeze on the Budget, confirming that it’s nonetheless set to finish in 2028.

Critics have known as the measure a ‘stealth tax’ because it has pushed extra employees into paying revenue tax since 2021.

This is as a result of the non-public allowance and better revenue thresholds have stayed the identical as wages have grown. This means extra persons are dragged into paying increased charges of tax as their wages improve yr on yr.

Reflecting on her determination, Ms Reeves admitted that extending the edge for 2 extra years as rumoured would increase “billions of pounds” which might “deal with the black hole.”

But, she concluded: “Having considered the issue closely I have concluded that extending the threshold freeze would hurt working people.”

Fuel responsibility improve

In one other shock twist, Ms Reeves opted to retain the 5p lower to gas responsibility which has been in place since 2022.

Leaving MPs in suspense, the chancellor started by saying the measure would price over £3 billion subsequent yr, including: “At a time when the fiscal position is so difficult, I have to be frank with the House that this is a substantial commitment to make.”

But she concluded that eradicating the measure can be the “wrong choice for working people,” confirming it can stay in place for at the very least one other yr.

Sir Keir Starmer described fuel duty as a budget-by-budget issue (Peter Byrne/PA)
Sir Keir Starmer described gas responsibility as a budget-by-budget subject (Peter Byrne/PA) (PA Archive)

Fuel duties, or taxes, apply to purchases of petrol, diesel and a wide range of different fuels used each for automobiles and home heating.

The levy represents a big income for the federal government, anticipated to boost £24.7 billion in 2023-24, in keeping with the Office for Budget Responsibility – equal to 2.2 per cent of all receipts.

Scrapping the 5p lower was estimated to boost the federal government £2-3bn.

‘Sin’ taxes

A “sin tax” is one positioned on items which are deemed dangerous in a roundabout way. A latest report from the IPPR proposed this on unhealthy meals, with a ten per cent tax on “food categories including processed meat, confectionary, cakes and biscuits”.

The researchers predict this may increase £3.6bn within the first yr, and has been confirmed to work by related fashions which have discovered success in Hungary and Mexico.

Another related measure might come within the type of elevated taxes on playing – both on winnings or on suppliers. Combined, these measures might increase as much as £5.9bn.

However, Labour opted to not introduce any taxes like these three. Perhaps, given the introduction of latest taxes on vaping and tobacco, ministers had been eager to not introduce too many measures which might be seen as policing private selections.

Wealth tax

A ‘wealth tax’ is a levy focused on the very rich – often these with property exceeding £10m. Ms Reeves dominated out the measure earlier than July’s normal election, including: “I don’t see the way to prosperity as being through taxation. I want to grow the economy.”

Former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn was amongst MPs calling for a wealth tax
Former Labour chief Jeremy Corbyn was amongst MPs calling for a wealth tax (PA)

In the weeks earlier than the Budget, a cross-party alliance of 30 MPs and friends known as for a tax on “extreme wealth”. In a letter to the chancellor, they demand a brand new 2 per cent tax on property price over £10m, which they declare might increase £24bn a yr.

As anticipated, it made no look on the day.

Council tax reform

Labour dominated out making modifications to council tax bands earlier than the overall election, that means it was unlikely we’d see a re-evaluation introduced on the Budget.

However, specialists have identified that the social gathering didn’t rule out including extra bands to the highest of the dimensions, which might account for higher-value properties.

Several campaigners have lengthy known as for a reform to the council tax banding system, because the values are nonetheless primarily based on the property costs in 1991.

Research from the Centre for Cities reveals that re-evaluating these bands yearly, alongside including extra to the highest, might save the common family £494 a yr with out shedding any cash for the exchequer.

But for now, it appears to be firmly off Labour’s agenda.

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