Sam Brown begins to close gap with incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen in battleground Nevada

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Ret. Army Capt. Sam Brown seems to be closing the polling gap with incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen in battleground Nevada with lower than two weeks till Election Day. 

In a brand new survey, Rosen defeated Brown 49% to 44% amongst all voters, in accordance to a brand new AARP ballot. 

Among the important thing demographic of voters 50 years or older, Brown beat the Democrat 49% to 46%. 

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Sam Brown, Jacky Rosen

The margin between Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen seems to be shrinking.  (Reuters)

The new ballot, which signifies a close race, comes after some expressed issues over the Republican’s place behind Rosen in current surveys. While many Republican candidates in essential states had already improved their stature towards incumbent Democrats, Brown was nonetheless dropping to Rosen by vital margins. 

In a late August ballot from CNN, Rosen was main Brown by a full 10 factors, 50% to 40%. In a Fox News Poll throughout the identical month, the Democrat beat her opponent by much more, 55% to his 41%. 

Earlier in the month, a New York Times and Siena College Poll had Rosen besting Brown 49% to 40%. 

In the identical AARP survey that Brown has appeared to make positive aspects in, former President Trump topped Vice President Kamala Harris in the swing state, 49%-47%, in a head-to-head contest. With different candidates, Trump nonetheless leads Harris 47% to 46%. 

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Kimmel campaigns with Jacky Rosen

U.S. Sen. Jacky Rosen and Jimmy Kimmel pose for a bunch picture as they thank volunteer staff at a Democratic coordinated marketing campaign canvass launch Oct. 21, 2024, in Las Vegas.  (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

“The huge gaps between the Senate and presidential races in these states were never realistic,” mentioned Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball on the University of Virginia Center for Politics. “At the same time, Democratic Senate candidates have generally had better margins than Harris in almost every competitive state.”

According to Kondik, there’s an “upside possibility” for Republicans in the situation that Trump performs significantly effectively

“He could carry several GOP Senate candidates over the finish line,” he mentioned. 

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sam brown

Nevada Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown attends a Hispanic roundtable with former President Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, at Beauty Society Oct. 12, 2024, in North Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller)

Nevada Republican strategist Jeremy Hughes mentioned, “Sam Brown has the momentum at the end of this race and is benefiting from a strong early vote performance by Republicans.”

Republicans have appeared to end up in bigger numbers than Democrats in Nevada’s early voting up to now, which is a departure from previous elections, in accordance to one veteran political journalist in the state. 

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While noting that Republicans have a bonus in early voting “at a time when the Ds usually have one,” Jon Ralston, the CEO and editor of The Nevada Independent, wrote. “If that gets larger, big trouble for Dems.” 

Ralston additional instructed Fox News Digital, “It is a surprising, unprecedented turnout pattern in a presidential year.”

“Democrats have usually used early voting to bank votes, and the election is all but over by Election Day. Not this year. Mail ballots sent to everyone changes everything, and it also makes predictions very difficult.”

Decorations saying "your vote counts" hang from tent at Hispanic GOP voters event

A Latinos for Trump occasion Oct. 3, 2024, in Las Vegas. (Hannah Ray Lambert/Fox News Digital)

“Nevadans are surging to the polls because they know we can do better. There is incredible energy on the ground, and working Nevada families are rallying behind Sam Brown’s plan to lower prices, secure the border and make life affordable again. Nevadans have made it clear they are ready for a change, and the momentum is on our side,” Brown marketing campaign spokesperson Raegan Lehman mentioned in a press release. 

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A spokesperson for Rosen’s marketing campaign instructed Fox News Digital, “Nevada Senate races are always close and competitive, and our campaign is taking nothing for granted.

“We’re assured that voters will in the end re-elect Jacky Rosen, a bipartisan and unbiased drawback solver who delivers for working households, and reject MAGA extremist Sam Brown, who desires to take away abortion rights, repeal the Affordable Care Act and intestine Social Security and Medicare.”

Her campaign additionally pointed to a late June poll, also by the AARP, that showed Rosen and Brown similarly five points apart at 47% to 42%. Brown led Rosen with voters 50 and over by 49% to 44% at the time. 

That poll interviewed 1,368 likely voters in Nevada between June 12 and 18. It also had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points for the sample of voters overall and plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the over 50-year-old sample. 

The new AARP poll that showed the gap closing interviewed 1,368 likely voters from Oct. 8 to 15. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points for the sample of voters overall and  plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the over 50-year-old sample. 

Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.



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