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With two weeks to go till Election Day on November 5, a brand new poll in swing state Nevada signifies a margin-of-error race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump.
According to the survey by AARP, Trump edged Harris 49%-47% in a head-to-head match up for the state’s extremely coveted six electoral votes. The Republican presidential nominee holds a good slimmer 47%-46% one-point margin over the Democratic Party standard-bearer in a full poll with third-party candidates. The survey is the most recent of seemingly voters to point a coin-toss race in Nevada.
As he runs to win again the White House, Trump goals to change into the primary GOP presidential nominee to hold Nevada since then-President George W. Bush in his 2004 re-election victory. Trump narrowly misplaced the Silver State in each his 2016 White House victory and in his 2020 re-election loss to President Biden.
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Republican presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump smiles throughout a Hispanic roundtable at Beauty Society on October 12, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
The AARP survey, carried out Oct. 8-15 and launched on Tuesday, signifies the previous president holding a slim benefit amongst impartial voters. It additionally factors to a big gender hole, with Trump up 18 factors amongst males, whereas Harris leads girls by 15 factors.
Recent polls in Nevada and throughout the nation point out an erosion of help for Democrats amongst Latino voters, and in response to the AARP poll, Trump enjoys a slight lower-single digit edge over Harris amongst these voters.
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Of observe, the survey does not level to a big schooling divide.
“There is only a small educational attainment gap, with Harris up 6-points with voters with college degrees, and Trump up 5 among those without degrees,” the survey’s launch highlights.
Democratic Presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris walks over to Latino voter Ivett Castillo, who lately misplaced her mom, throughout a Univision Town Hall in Las Vegas, Nevada on Thursday, October 10, 2024. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post through Getty Images) (Melina Mara/The Washington Post through Getty Images)
The poll signifies Trump with a seven-point lead amongst voters 50+, and a four-point benefit amongst these age 65 and older.
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“With the presidential and senate races so close, appealing to high-turnout older voters should be a major priority for all the campaigns,” AARP Nevada State Director Maria Moore emphasised. “If candidates want to win in Nevada, they should focus on the issues that matter to older voters, from protecting Social Security to supporting family caregivers and bringing down the costs of necessities like food and housing.”
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump latest break up picture (Getty Images)
Nevada is one in all seven swing states whose razor-thin margins determined Biden’s 2020 election victory over Trump and are more likely to decide if Harris or Trump wins the 2024 White House race.
The Silver State will not be solely a presidential battleground – it is also dwelling to a crucial Senate race that’s one in all a handful that can determine if the GOP wins again the chamber’s majority.
According to the poll, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen holds a five-point 49%-44% benefit over Republican challenger Sam Brown.
The AARP poll was carried out by the bipartisan polling group of Fabrizio Ward (Republican) & Impact Research (Democrat). The corporations interviewed 1,368 seemingly voters in Nevada. The survey’s total sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 share factors.
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