Senate shakeup: How a secret ballot could undermine a potential Trump endorsement in race to the top

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Former President Donald Trump’s traditionally influential endorsement could show unconvincing in the Republican Senate chief race — if he chooses to provide one in any respect. 

Senate Republicans, together with those that can be newly elected, will collect in Washington, D.C., shortly after the election in mid-November to maintain a secret ballot to decide the subsequent GOP chief. 

The subsequent chief will succeed Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., who’s the longest-serving social gathering chief in Senate historical past. 

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Rick Scott, Donald Trump, John Thune, John Cornyn

Trump’s potential endorsement might not maintain a lot weight in a secret ballot.  (Reuters)

Senate Minority Whip John Thune, R-S.D., and Sens. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and Rick Scott, R-Fla., have introduced campaigns for the position. Each of the males endorsed Trump throughout the Republican major, regardless of Thune having first backed fellow Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C. 

Thune has had a notably strained previous with Trump over the final a number of years however has been speaking with him in current months and seemingly repairing their relationship as he seems to be to lead the convention. 

Trump has usually wielded his seal of approval, or disapproval, as a weapon. In the previous, the former president has rapidly doomed major and common campaigns for elected workplace and management bids with as a lot as a Truth Social put up. 

He’s additionally held grudges in opposition to politicians who endorsed opponents, equivalent to Rep. Bob Good, R-Va. Good endorsed Gov. Ron DeSantis, R-Fla., in the GOP presidential major in 2024 earlier than in the end backing Trump. The former president then endorsed Good’s major opponent, who went on to beat him in a tight election. 

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Donald Trump

Trump has but to say who he prefers to lead the GOP convention.  (Reuters)

Trump’s skill to affect Republicans to get behind his chosen candidates has usually relied on worry of retribution, a former Republican management aide defined. 

But when Republicans in the higher chamber solid their ballots for a new chief, they’re going to be doing it secretly. “Nobody knows how any particular senator voted,” the former aide mentioned. “So they’re free to say whatever they want in terms of who they voted for.”

“I don’t think it has anywhere near the impact that it would in a public race.”

The aide pointed to the speaker election in the House of Representatives, in which Trump’s assist or lack thereof performed a vital position. In the decrease chamber, the vote is public on the House ground, and the way every consultant voted is recorded. 

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Mitch McConnell at congressional medal ceremony

McConnell introduced in February he wouldn’t run for chief once more.  (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc by way of Getty Images)

Trump additionally runs the danger of irritating Republicans in the Senate, who “would not appreciate being told who to support from anyone outside the chamber,” mentioned Republican strategist Ron Bonjean, a former top spokesperson to former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott and former chief of employees of the Senate Republican Conference. 

Any such endorsement could additionally show moot if Trump would not win the presidential election, which can be held roughly a week prior to the management vote. 

“We may not know the outcome of the November election for who controls the White House until after the race is over,” Bonjean identified. 

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Donald Trump salutes crowd

Trump will face VP Harris in the presidential election simply earlier than the Senate chief race.  (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Only two GOP senators have publicly endorsed a chief candidate, with Sens. Markwayne Mullin, R-Okla., and Mike Rounds, R-S.D., each backing Thune early on. 

Mullin is a shut ally of the former president and speaks with him regularly. When Trump has requested for Mullin’s opinion about the management race and whether or not he ought to become involved, the Oklahoma senator has in the end deferred to the former president’s judgment, however reccommended that he not make an endorsement, as there is probably not any profit for him. 

For Trump, selecting to weigh in could introduce “the non-trivial risk that he endorses somebody, and they don’t win,” the former aide mentioned. 

This would quantity to an “out-of-the-gate rebuke from Senate Republicans.” 

If such an “immediate rebuke” have been to happen, Trump wouldn’t have both the luxurious or the functionality to precise any type of retribution, due to the vote’s secret nature, they added. 

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“This is a true vote of conscience. And votes of conscience like that are not super-amenable to endorsement pressure.”

Trump’s marketing campaign didn’t present remark to Fox News Digital in time for publication when requested whether or not he would become involved. 

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